mBaer Necessities 12 / 2025
As I sit at my desk this December, watching the final trades of a truly volatile 2025, it is clear that we have lived through a year that defied almost every baseline expectation. Investors entered the year anticipating a predictable normalization, yet markets were instead pulled from one narrative to the next, by sweeping tariff announcements and hastily brokered trade deals, by a president openly guiding sentiment and signalling when markets had gone “too far,” and by geopolitical headlines that proved impossible to price with any durability. What emerged was not disorder, but a new kind of uncertainty, one shaped less by economic data and more by political reaction functions.




